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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)60% (48–32, n=80)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$426K$25K$500K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #104PM monthly #836PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 37% of 79)—4% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 59% of 138)—34% (won 100% of 17)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 72% of 243)—44% (won 100% of 22)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 98% of 107)—18% (won 100% of 9)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Zzzz87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $609—Team Falcons $164KTeam Falcons $20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $1.1K—Gen.G $95K—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $243—Gen.G $44K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $90——Mavericks $6.3K