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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 53% (2445–2142, n=4587) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $19K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #103 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (101 of 135 open) | 61% (46 of 76 open) | 59% (19 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys opposite sides · consensus Tommy Paul | — | Quentin Halys $10 | Tommy Paul $31K |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong | — | Coleman Wong $10 | Chun-Chien Hou $83 |