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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) | 69% (242–108, n=350) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $68K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #201 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 82% (32 of 39 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto ±0 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 11% (won 23% of 39) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 11% (won 46% of 37) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 9% (won 67% of 30) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 69% (won 91% of 234) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | No $3.4K | — |