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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State opposite sides · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $19K | Texas State $9.7K | Oregon State $50 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $953 | Texas Tech $830 | — |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $138 | Texas Tech $317 | — |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | Texas Tech $54K | Texas Tech $81 |
| Wyoming vs. UNLV same side · consensus Wyoming | — | Wyoming $33K | Wyoming $19K | — |