PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0xheavy888YYYYY999Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)49% (2585–2638, n=5223)95% (472–26, n=498)
Consensus PnL—$442K$167K$465K
Tracked asPM monthly #979Hand-pickedPM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #144
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (61 of 92 open)68% (17 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542Tennis −1 pts, n=386—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%99% of 675 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)14% (won 22% of 597)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)43% (won 45% of 1867)25% (won 98% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)29% (won 59% of 1253)48% (won 99% of 324)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)14% (won 79% of 598)25% (won 100% of 170)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketliriks0xheavy888YYYYY999Sisyphus-
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Jazz $10Lakers $119K—
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Invictus Gaming
—Hanwha Life Esports $54KInvictus Gaming $62K—
Pistons vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—76ers $12Pistons $46K—
Grizzlies vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $18Kings $24K—
Pacers vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Pacers $7Nets $15K—