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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kinderSman | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (406–6, n=412) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (1053–1054, n=2107) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $4.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #805 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #62 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 392) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kinderSman | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $16K | No $2.0M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.2K | Yes $820K | — |