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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kinderSman | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (406–6, n=412) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (1053–1054, n=2107) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $4.2M | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #61 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 42% (13 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 50) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 41% (won 99% of 392) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 49% (won 99% of 469) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 392) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 5% (won 100% of 44) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kinderSman | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | Yes $145 | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $16K | No $2.0M | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.2K | Yes $820K | — | — |