← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kinderSman | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (416–6, n=422) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 50% (15050–15076, n=30126) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $161K | $4.2M | $3.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #800 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #57 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 61% (92 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 392) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kinderSman | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $812 | — | Yes $5 | — |