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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (501–539, n=1040) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $462K | $426K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 43% (29 of 68 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Hurricanes $34K | Kraken $51 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.4K | Under $200 | — |