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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | primm | reykreyk | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 81% (13–3, n=16) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.6M | $29K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #54 | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (25 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | primm | reykreyk | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $6.1K | — | UTEP $5.1K |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $923 | — | Texas Tech $830 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $138 | — | Texas Tech $317 |