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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15596–15690, n=31286)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.1M$14.8M$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #138PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #196
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (72 of 122 open)55% (17 of 31 open)82% (31 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Crypto ±0 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)11% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)69% (won 91% of 234)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.6K—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $8Ipek Oz $679—
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $5Angela Fita Boluda $15—
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4Under $8—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $1.3KColeman Wong $6.4K—
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $270Nuria Brancaccio $905—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
—Cezar Cretu $16Cezar Cretu $692—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $205Ivan Gakhov $222—