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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daavtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)46% (269–313, n=582)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.2M$3.0M$73K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #139PM monthly #47was PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)52% (81 of 155 open)70% (14 of 20 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)41% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)17% (won 34% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)13% (won 78% of 72)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)29% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daavtcchampion52
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $279LYON $41K
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $11KLYON $17K
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——LYON $7.0KGen.G $3.6K
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $1.1KLYON $1.0K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $248LYON $12
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $5.0KGen.G $197K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $152Under $629