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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (503–542, n=1045) | 84% (21–4, n=25) | 55% (392–321, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $528K | $297K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (29 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (31 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 95% of 20 at avg 73¢, ROI +22% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 5% (won 0% of 1) | 14% (won 37% of 79) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 10% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 59% of 138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 15% (won 100% of 3) | 43% (won 72% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 70% (won 100% of 14) | 19% (won 98% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $34K | — | Kraken $51 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $200 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $295 | — | Over $11 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $15K | — | Northwestern $1.9K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | USC $14K | — | USC $2 |