Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)61% (48–31, n=79)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$0$426K$659K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #722PM monthly #103PM monthly #16 + pinnedwas PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (30 of 68 open)44% (4 of 9 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 37% of 79)4% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 59% of 138)34% (won 100% of 17)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 72% of 243)44% (won 100% of 22)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 98% of 107)18% (won 100% of 9)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethaveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Zzzz87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—Team Falcons $995Team Falcons $211K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $243Gen.G $44K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $88—Mavericks $5.9K