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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| guilttrip | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 57% (37–28, n=65) | 50% (7–7, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $440K | $656K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 27% (25 of 94 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% | 86% of 7 at avg 44¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 12) | 57% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 100% of 16) | 29% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 100% of 8) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | guilttrip | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | Yes $45 | Yes $10 | — |