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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| guilttrip | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 57% (37–28, n=65) | 50% (7–7, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $425K | $440K | $656K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #135 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 28% (26 of 94 open) | 50% (55 of 111 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% | 86% of 7 at avg 44¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 12) | 57% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 43% (won 100% of 16) | 29% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 22% (won 100% of 8) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | guilttrip | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $94K | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | No $4.7K | — | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K | — |
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | Yes $45 | — | Yes $10 | — |