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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
grothndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (264–140, n=404)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (15554–15643, n=31197)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$154K$4.8M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #502PM monthly #95PM monthly #142PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (35 of 56 open)72% (52 of 72 open)53% (80 of 151 open)46% (13 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won71% of 325 at avg 59¢, ROI +10%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 18% of 91)13% (won 15% of 186)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 61% of 23)19% (won 39% of 267)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 48)23% (won 58% of 326)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 98% of 163)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgrothndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Antonia Ruzic $26Alexandra Eala $47K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
——Luca Van Assche $69Rinky Hijikata $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $9Ipek Oz $680
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
opposite sides · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla
——Oriol Roca Batalla $29Nicolas Kicker $453
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $3.3KBen Shelton $25K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
——Mai Hontama $26Mai Hontama $19K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
——Jerome Kym $76Jerome Kym $3.0K