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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Lunarcorona | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (424–365, n=789) | 48% (483–517, n=1000) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $376K | $455K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #899 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (79 of 115 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Lunarcorona |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $46 | Hurricanes $33K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado opposite sides · consensus Colorado | — | Colorado $257 | Houston $5.7K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Houston (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $786 | Houston $2 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $938 | Colorado $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $3.5K | Colorado $871 | — |