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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fkAL | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (1247–306, n=1553) | 48% (11763–12551, n=24314) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) |
| Consensus PnL | $626K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $12.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #991 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (32 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (29 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1683 at avg 73¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 72% of 79) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 83% of 265) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 98% of 181) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 88% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 99% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 98% of 913) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fkAL | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $440 | — | Celtics $9 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $233 | — | Lakers $707 |