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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1westing.v1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)49% (55–58, n=113)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M$21K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)70% (68 of 97 open)56% (18 of 32 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +44 pts n=20, ROI +43%
  • NHL +47 pts n=13, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 48 at avg 54¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)33% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)21% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1westing.v1
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $24K—Nikita Mashtakov $23K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1K—Ugo Humbert $3.7K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $2.0K—Cavaliers $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—