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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)50% (3701–3696, n=7397)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M-$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #234 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)71% (67 of 94 open)55% (39 of 71 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—MLB −5 pts, n=137
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 6035 at avg 49¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)13% (won 23% of 791)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)45% (won 45% of 2699)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)29% (won 60% of 1740)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)13% (won 80% of 805)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $228—No $11
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—