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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Udonsan
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)64% (1101–632, n=1733)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)82% (635–144, n=779)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M$94K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #33 + pinnedwas PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)73% (76 of 104 open)62% (18 of 29 open)96% (51 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Weather −2 pts, n=100
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%87% of 375 at avg 84¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)5% (won 18% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)3% (won 10% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)6% (won 50% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)87% (won 95% of 326)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Udonsan
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $234—Edward Winter $5.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $30K—Janice Tjen $47K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $38—Keisuke Saitoh $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—