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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)57% (10213–7746, n=17959)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$21K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #96was PM monthly #979PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)72% (108 of 149 open)60% (67 of 112 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9Xprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20—No $21—
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $14K—Falcons $3—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $554—MOUZ $9—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $151—No $301—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $6—
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
BetBoom Team $6—BetBoom Team $11—