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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026MigRodrndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)21% (17–63, n=80)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.1M-$23K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #896PM monthly #97PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)67% (2 of 3 open)74% (113 of 153 open)67% (28 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 16 at avg 34¢, ROI +64%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—0%23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026MigRodrndb1RN1
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.4K—No $5.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Over $1.7K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $2.1K——Sofya Lansere $74
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $21K——Lorenzo Sonego $14K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $7.9K——Claire Liu $12K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21——Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159——Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360