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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 69% (102–45, n=147) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | -$107 | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 73% (75 of 103 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=101 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 36% of 247 at avg 36¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 54% (won 3% of 134) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 9% (won 30% of 23) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 8% (won 74% of 19) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 29% (won 92% of 71) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $71K | — | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $41K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | — | Over $360 |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai same side · consensus Shintaro Imai | Sho Katayama $75 | — | — | Sho Katayama $12 |