Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmwesting.v1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)49% (55–58, n=113)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.7M$21K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #41was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)66% (78 of 118 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +44 pts n=20, ROI +43%
  • NHL +47 pts n=13, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 48 at avg 54¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)33% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)21% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmwesting.v1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
Francesco Forti $220Massimo Giunta $609——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14KAlex Michelsen $5.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——