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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$3.2M$69K
Tracked asPM monthly #419PM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #195
Sides with the consensus74% (25 of 34 open)68% (131 of 192 open)68% (59 of 87 open)82% (32 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Blues vs. Devils
opposite sides · consensus Devils
Devils $28KBlues $2——
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Canadiens $27KUtah $247——
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $26KUtah $2——
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $13KAndres Andrade $4.7K——
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Blues $15KDevils $4——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $12KAliaksandra Sasnovich $665——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
UTSA $7.2KFlorida Atlantic $81——
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $5.9KRed Wings $2——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9KOver $425——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3Under $8——
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $87KNo $3.4K
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Ducks $20KDucks $12——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $16KThiago Seyboth Wild $2.6K——
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Bruins $15KBruins $109——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flyers
Flyers $296Flyers $238——