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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677uprightuser
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)73% (183–67, n=250)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M-$123K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #529
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)65% (77 of 118 open)no open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%55% of 309 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)36% (won 3% of 110)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 22% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)9% (won 70% of 27)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)50% (won 93% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677uprightuser
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
Ugo Blanchet $3.7KBuvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $9.0K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $13KAlex Michelsen $4.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $9.9KCosme Rolland De Ravel $329——