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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Pondermint
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)67% (432–213, n=645)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M$174K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #378
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)65% (108 of 165 open)no open consensus position40% (6 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—MLB −2 pts, n=89
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%70% of 504 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 10% of 67)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 38% of 56)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 61% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)64% (won 90% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Pondermint
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——