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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucherndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)69% (102–45, n=147)64% (1101–632, n=1733)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.9M-$107$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #531PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)73% (87 of 120 open)100% (5 of 5 open)73% (76 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −1 pts, n=101NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%36% of 247 at avg 36¢, ROI 0%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)54% (won 3% of 134)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)9% (won 30% of 23)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)8% (won 74% of 19)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)29% (won 92% of 71)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucherndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $36KJanice Tjen $8.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
Liam Broady $1.4KLiam Broady $839——