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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHomelessnHoelessndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)52% (137–129, n=266)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M-$127K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #597PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)69% (94 of 137 open)71% (10 of 14 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Esports −1 pts, n=240NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%52% of 258 at avg 54¢, ROI −1%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 17% of 12)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)34% (won 40% of 88)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)47% (won 57% of 120)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)15% (won 76% of 38)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHomelessnHoelessndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $15KAdrian Andreev $4.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591——
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni $26Lorenzo Carboni $1.8K——