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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (16–11, n=27) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 60% (48–32, n=80) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $670K | $426K | $500K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 43% (29 of 68 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 34% (won 100% of 17) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 44% (won 100% of 22) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 18% (won 100% of 9) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus FURIA | Team Falcons $7.5K | Team Falcons $731 | Team Falcons $197K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $95K | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $243 | Gen.G $44K | — |