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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788nigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)60% (48–32, n=80)
Consensus PnL$670K$426K$25K$500K
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #104PM monthly #836PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 37% of 79)—4% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 59% of 138)—34% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 72% of 243)—44% (won 100% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 98% of 107)—18% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788nigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $9.2KTeam Falcons $609—Team Falcons $164K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1K—Gen.G $95K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $243—Gen.G $44K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $241——Team Falcons $5.8K