Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)48% (503–539, n=1042)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$670K$462K$426K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #21PM monthly #104PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)61% (20 of 33 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 37% of 79)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)36% (won 100% of 120)24% (won 59% of 138)—
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 166)43% (won 72% of 243)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 24)19% (won 98% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $9.2KFURIA $10KTeam Falcons $609—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $34KKraken $51—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $200—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $241Team Falcons $2.5K——