Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788hortikkknigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (22–18, n=40)67% (6–3, n=9)53% (529–468, n=997)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$883K$526$636K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #883PM monthly #53PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)50% (20 of 40 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%—77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)—12% (won 44% of 90)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 100% of 13)—25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 7)—45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)—18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788hortikkknigiri99VirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.0KLions $36K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Packers $2.4KVikings $8.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.3KTitans $5.9K