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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)54% (424–365, n=789)48% (483–517, n=1000)33% (1–2, n=3)
Consensus PnL$590K$376K$455K-$5.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #463
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (79 of 115 open)60% (9 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $445—Nuggets $630
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $786Houston $2—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $938Colorado $3.6K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.5KColorado $871—