Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpjuliuscheesarVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)86% (18–3, n=21)90% (19–2, n=21)
Consensus PnL$829K$539K$16K$531K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #7PM monthly #970PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)54% (97 of 181 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)4% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 335)4% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 8)11% (won 62% of 157)22% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 326)70% (won 100% of 19)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpjuliuscheesarVirIntrepidus
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $584—Seahawks $46K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $11—Cowboys $204
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $52—