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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| esticamos | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (146–122, n=268) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $4.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 56% (110 of 195 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=140 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 249 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 45) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 55% of 22) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 57% of 37) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 90% of 145) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | esticamos | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $7.5K | Central Michigan $419 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | Central Michigan $3.8K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $358 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $631 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $3 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 |
| Spread: Ball State (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $202 | UMass $125 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.4K | Over $116 |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $490 |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $266 | Toledo $458 |