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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| esticamos | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (163–146, n=309) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | -$9.5M | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #880 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 54% (39 of 72 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 270 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 18% of 50) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 55% of 22) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 59% of 39) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 90% of 159) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | esticamos | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $6.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | Cavaliers $708 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Over $360 | — |