← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 50% (15364–15431, n=30795) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $4.5M | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (109 of 151 open) | 53% (62 of 117 open) | 50% (13 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys | — | — | Tommy Paul $23 | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot | — | — | Sho Shimabukuro $9 | Harold Mayot $123 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | Yes $3 | — |