← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (220–61, n=281) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | $4.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 65% (133 of 206 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $234K | No $6.5K | — |