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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 35% (3647–6671, n=10318) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $3.0M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #796 | PM monthly #510 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 53% (16 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.3K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Sorana Cirstea $650 | — | Mary Stoiana $611 |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | Remy Bertola $157 | — | Kilian Feldbausch $1.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig | — | Matej Dodig $81 | — | Tom Gentzsch $29 |
| Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $13K | — | Otto Virtanen $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $360 |