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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | fantasy7788 | Hauchn | Macks22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $536K | $245K | $117K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #143 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (320 of 441 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (7 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | Finance −1 pts, n=121 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 116 at avg 55¢, ROI +44% | 10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2% | 78% of 101 at avg 72¢, ROI +23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 89% (won 2% of 108) | 6% (won 0% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 31% (won 100% of 36) | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 8% (won 63% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 57% (won 100% of 66) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 28% (won 71% of 28) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 10% (won 100% of 12) | 5% (won 100% of 6) | 58% (won 92% of 59) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.