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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crazyoddsloverFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$4.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #304PM monthly #15PM monthly #113PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (99 of 133 open)73% (74 of 101 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrazyoddsloverFlaznorpndb1S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $368K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $1.3K—Pelicans $52K