PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteBreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (376–222, n=598)50% (13213–13355, n=26568)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #945PM monthly #1PM monthly #156PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)70% (23 of 33 open)40% (2 of 5 open)51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢0%34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteBreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $34K——
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus fnatic
——fnatic $15KAstralis $1.2K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——TYLOO $8.9KFURIA $112
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $1.7K——
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——TYLOO $299FURIA $252
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9KYes $248K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9KNo $36K——