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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (434–390, n=824) | 43% (11756–15327, n=27083) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) |
| Consensus PnL | $414K | -$9.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #716 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 73% (71 of 97 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 712 at avg 51¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 4% of 197) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 24% of 119) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 168) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 228) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $46K | — | Janice Tjen $84K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |