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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (375–276, n=651) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) |
| Consensus PnL | $481K | $3.7M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #843 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (176 of 252 open) | 73% (59 of 81 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Under $30K | — |