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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (377–276, n=653) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) |
| Consensus PnL | $484K | $3.7M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #781 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (186 of 281 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (63 of 87 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $34K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $578 | — | Under $6.4K |