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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (375–276, n=651) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $7.3M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #780 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 68% (217 of 319 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $403 | Lakers $7.4K |