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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | joseph00677 | Kaczka | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (417–384, n=801) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $5.6M | $16K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 61% (124 of 203 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 85% of 531 at avg 56¢, ROI +23% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 73% of 117) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 89% of 329) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | Kaczka | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $659 | No $2.9K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona | — | — | FC Barcelona $100 | Aston Villa FC $659 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $99 | Under $349 |